The
web of causation of disease and injury is complex, but each component
part can be mapped, its contribution to disease burden can be estimated,
and prevention strategies can be informed by a systematic analysis of
what has been evaluated elsewhere. Ultimately, this will be a repository
of evidence that can be used to guide prevention planning in San Francisco.
The determinants
explored below are organized into four categories, based upon a model
developed by Murray
& Lopez (see figure below) (See also,
Background on the identification of determinants
for the San Francisco Burden of Disease & Injury Study). Interventions
can (and need to be) applied at every level. Resources from the Disease
Control Priorities Project (many of which are appropriate for developed
economies) will be particularly helpful in developing this work in progress.
Social/Environmental/
Political Determinants [sources: The
Solid Facts: Social Determinants of Health (pdf), some
key articles, plus several hours of deliberation by the workgroup,
which identified key areas of focus] |
Behavioral/Individual
Determinants [sources: Attribution
Matrix and McGinnis
& Foege (or, more recently, Mokdad
et al) plus deliberation
by the workgroup. |
Clinical/Physiological
Determinants [clinical conditions -- some of these also
appear as DALYs, since Disability Adjusted Life Years includes morbidity]
|
Health
Outcomes [premature mortality and DALYs, plus
major public health programs, plus several that were identified
by the
workgroup]
(listing not in rank order) |
physical environment
(transport)
social inequality
(low SES)
social exclusion
(institutional racism)
social support
(lack of social connectedness)
|
alcohol
firearms/violence
illicit
drugs
motor
vehicle traffic
physical
inactivity
poor
diet
tobacco
unsafe sex
stress
|
heart disease
high
blood pressure
diabetes
(type 2)
high cholesterol
overweight/obesity
asthma
hiv/aids
depression
malnutrition
substance use
problems
|
ischemic
heart disease*
hiv/aids
lung cancer
stroke*
depression*
suicide
breast cancer
poisonings (overdose)
traffic accidents
drug overdose
hypertensive heart disease
colorectal cancer
COPD
violence (homicide)
Alzheimers/dementia
osteoarthritis
alcohol use disorder
colorectal cancer
diabetes
cirrhosis of liver
sexually transmitted disease
tuberculosis
low birth weight
infant mortality
abscess
* leading health
outcomes (cardiovascular disease is main cause of premature mortality;
depression is leading cause of DALYs)
|
By clicking
on any of the above determinants (to the extent that they have links)
you can see that how that determinant fits within the causal web for San
Francisco. We need to make a final decision on which determinants we will
depict here...we're missing some of those from Healthy People 2010). [Each
determinant has its own "home page" ... see physical
inactivity as an example.] This upstream/downstream grouping of Determinants
is based on a broad conception of health that is presented in the introduction
to the 2002 Overview of Health in SF.

Figure
1. Simplified
causal web linking exposures and outcomes. For a discussion of
the issues involved in quantification of risks within this framework,
see Murray
et al.
|